New York Red Bulls – New York City match prediction

Match preview

It’s another high-stakes Hudson River Derby at the Red Bull Arena! Unbeaten in four MLS matches here (W3, D1), the New York Red Bulls (NYRB), enter this clash having failed to score in just 10.0% of their home league fixtures this term.

Homeward bound after two winless away ventures (D1, L1), the ‘Metros’ (NYRB) have scored over 3.5 goals in just two competitive home games this season – though notably the last two H2Hs here saw the hosts win 4-0. However, both teams have scored in 63.64% of 11 matches here this season (MLS/USO), with the home side scoring first in 54.55% of those games.

The best away side over the last five MLS matches (W3, D2) and with two games in hand, New York City (NYCFC) travel here having failed to score in just one of their ten competitive awaydays this season. In fact, City have scored over 1.5 goals in 70.0% of such games, scoring first in four awaydays.

Unbeaten in 90 minutes in their last eight road trips (W4, D4 – in all competitions), NYCFC are also unbeaten in the last two derbies (W1, D1) – however, City have won just one MLS/USO trip here since 2015 (W1, D1, L6) – beaten ‘to nil’ in four such games!

Players to watch: Bradley Wright-Phillips (NYRB) has a record 12 derby goals, scoring first within 21 minutes in three matches. Seven-goal Maximiliano Moralez (NYCFC), meanwhile, has two goals against the hosts and scored last time out.

Stat attack: Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 72.73% of NYRB’s 11 MLS/USO home fixtures.

NYCFC’s last four matches have seen over 9.5 corners (total).

The last H2H saw a total of six yellow cards, and NYCFC pick up two straight dismissals.

Prediction and betting tips

Total Over 2.5 goals

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