Montreal Impact – Toronto FC soccer prediction

Match prediction:

Kick off time:

With no stalemate in seven MLS outings (W3, L4), and none of those matches producing under 2.5 goals, Montreal Impact play unapologetically. However, it’s curious to see that of the three wins in that sequence (all coming at home), all have produced a 2-1 scoreline with six of the total nine goals scored arriving beyond the hour mark.

By extension, four of Montreal’s last five MLS home matches have produced precisely three match goals. Of those four matches, three have seen the winner on the day convert a penalty, with that quartet averaging a penalty per match.

Winners just once in their last 11 MLS outings (W1, D4, L6), Toronto FC have lost by a margin of multiple goals in their last four MLS road defeats. All of those saw Toronto fail to score, with the last three seeing them lose one half – very precisely – by a 2-0 scoreline.

Toronto players and fans alike may still take some encouragement from the historic H2H record in this all-Canadian rivalry. Across all competitions, Toronto’s H2H record is: W20, D9, L12, with three of the last four MLS meetings seeing the half-time scoreline match the final result.

Players to watch: Montreal’s last home win saw Orji Okwonkwo score a brace straddling both halves, either side of the visitors’ equaliser.

Nick DeLeon has scored on three of the four occasions Toronto have taken points from an MLS road trip in 2019, scoring twice beyond the 89th minute.

Stat attack: Five of Montreal’s last six regular-season MLS H2Hs against Toronto have seen a half-time leader get the win.

Against all opponents, five of Toronto’s last six MLS matches have seen the home side on the day net in the final ten minutes.

Of those five instances, three of the home side’s ‘final’ goals have come from the spot.

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